Morgan Stanley 2025 China Economic Outlook

Morgan Stanley 2025 China Economic Outlook. Stanley raises its growth forecast for China for 2023 其中关税部分,我们假设美国在2025年提高对华有效关税15个百分点,并在2026年进一步提高10个百分点,合计高于2018-19年的11个百分点。 在此假设之下,关税对于中国出口的直接影响或相当于2018-19年,而对企业信心和资本开支的间接影响可能较为温和。 Morgan Stanley's base-case target for China's CSI300 is 4,200 by end-2025, about 4.7% above the 4,011 level traded earlier in the day.

Stanley 2025 China Economics Outlook Meryl Suellen
Stanley 2025 China Economics Outlook Meryl Suellen from reahjklinnell.pages.dev

China continues to battle deflation as tariffs pose a risk to the country's overinvested. In Display 1 we illustrate that there is a large gap between the broader market, as represented by the equal-weighted S&P 500 and the market-cap-weighted.

Stanley 2025 China Economics Outlook Meryl Suellen

highlight a more cautious outlook, analysts said in a note. China continues to battle deflation as tariffs pose a risk to the country's overinvested. "We expect even stronger headwinds on corporate earnings and market valuation in the coming months," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a note dated Nov

After US382 billion China stock rout, Nomura and Stanley join Goldman in cutting bullish. 其中关税部分,我们假设美国在2025年提高对华有效关税15个百分点,并在2026年进一步提高10个百分点,合计高于2018-19年的11个百分点。 在此假设之下,关税对于中国出口的直接影响或相当于2018-19年,而对企业信心和资本开支的间接影响可能较为温和。 In Display 1 we illustrate that there is a large gap between the broader market, as represented by the equal-weighted S&P 500 and the market-cap-weighted.

Stanley 2025 China Economics Outlook Meryl Suellen. Morgan Stanley anticipates front-loaded pressures on China's equity market, driven by persistent earnings weakness into 2025, a depreciation of the USDCNY to offset tariff impacts, higher equity. China continues to battle deflation as tariffs pose a risk to the country's overinvested.